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Home Netherlands Eredivisie PEC Zwolle — Ajax

Predictions PEC Zwolle vs Ajax March 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
Home · last 5 D L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 11:15
0:0
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
D L D W D Away · last 5
MAC³PARK Stadion · Zwolle Referee Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Home Win · ZWO
17%
Best 4.18
Draw
22%
Best 4.00
Away Win · AJA
61%
Best 1.74
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.60
Fair odds
5.08
book 5.60 · +10.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 20% · EV +10.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (80%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 17.1%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 41.4%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 41.2%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 17.1%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ZWO – AJA @ 5.60
+10.2%
Edge
Forecast →