Match NAC Breda vs Twente January 30, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.00 — +14.2% better than the market.

Twente arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Rat Verlegh Stadion. Their offensive strength challenges NAC's defense, which has struggled to contain attacks. Meanwhile, NAC's home edge is limited, and their inconsistent form hints at a tough night ahead.

Twente's sharper attack vs NAC's leaky defense
Stronger recent momentum for the visitors
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 5-3-2 · TWE 4-2-3-1

BRE · 5-3-2 4-2-3-1 · TWE

9 Soumano

📊 Statistics

BRE 2 – 2 TWE

63%

Possession (%)

37%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.63

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NAC Breda and Twente drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 79% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.40 units (Brier 0.198).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.00	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	56%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS No	2.28	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.69	—	57%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.12	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.89	—	43%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.29	—	82%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.92	—	34%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.46	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	79%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.40	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.85	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.40u	−8% ROI