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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Twente — Excelsior

Predictions Twente vs Excelsior January 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Twente
Twente
Home · last 5 W D D W L
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 20:00
0:0
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
D W W D W Away · last 5
De Grolsch Veste · Enschede Referee Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
Home Win · TWE
74%
Best 1.30
Draw
18%
Best 5.45
Away Win · EXC
8%
Best 9.55
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.53
book 6.00 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 18% · EV +8.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (82%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.9%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 8%
Odds 9.10
Show model details
Implied probability 11%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
TWE – EXC @ 6.00
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →