P
Prognosist
P
Home Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — FC Volendam

Predictions Ajax vs FC Volendam January 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 15:30
2:0
Full-time
FC Volendam
FC Volendam
L W L D L Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam Referee Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
Home Win · AJA
77%
Best 1.31
Draw
16%
Best 5.68
Away Win · VOL
7%
Best 8.35
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 23.00
Fair odds
20.16
book 23.00 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 5% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (95%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.3%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7%
Odds 6.85
Show model details
Implied probability 14.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 23.2%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
AJA – VOL @ 23.00
+14.2%
Edge
Forecast →