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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam — Heracles

Predictions Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles January 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 15:45
2:0
Full-time
Heracles
Heracles
L L L L L Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
Home Win · SPA
44%
Best 1.79
Draw
24%
Best 3.71
Away Win · HER
32%
Best 4.30
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.19
book 2.48 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +13.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (54%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.9%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.7%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 7.1%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 55.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SPA – HER @ 2.48
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →