Match Sunderland vs Brighton March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.47 — +7.8% better than the market.

Brighton enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite Sunderland's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game. Sunderland's defensive solidity at home faces a stern test against Brighton's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle with potential for a tight scoreline.

Brighton's superior overall strength and offensive threat
Sunderland's home resilience but recent form dips
Moderate pace expected, favoring compact defensive setups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.47 ✓ Cashed

AI 31% Implied 29% +2.47u

+247%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 4-1-4-1 · BRI 4-2-3-1

SUN · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · BRI

9 Brobbey

Subs used · SUN

64'

O'Nien ↑ ·

Ballard ↓

78'

Mayenda ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

85'

Cirkin ↑ ·

Talbi ↓

Subs used · BRI

76'

De Cuyper ↑ ·

Minteh ↓

88'

Ayari ↑ ·

Hinshelwood ↓

90+4'

Veltman ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

90+5'

O'Riley ↑ ·

Welbeck ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 0 – 1 BRI

47%

Possession (%)

53%

0.97

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

51'

▮

Diego Gómez

Yellow Card

58'

⚽

Y. Minteh

0–1

L. O'Nien ↓ · D. Ballard ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

74'

▮

Yankuba Minteh

Yellow Card

Granit Xhaka

Yellow Card

▮

75'

76'

⇄

M. De Cuyper ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑

Substitution 1

E. Mayenda ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

D. Cirkin ↓ · C. Talbi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

88'

⇄

Y. Ayari ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑

Substitution 2

90+4'

⇄

J. Veltman ↓ · D. Gomez ↑

Substitution 3

90+5'

⇄

M. O'Riley ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Brighton won 1–0 away at Sunderland. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.57 to 0.97. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Y. Minteh (58').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.01 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.28	—	52%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
BTTS No	2.05	—	52%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.83	—	57%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.60	—	52%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.71	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.47	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	—	79%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.47	—	31%	Cashed	+2.47	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.32	—	77%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.37	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.47	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.47	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.01u	−12% ROI