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Home Netherlands Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven — Excelsior

Predictions PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior January 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 19:00
5:1
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
D W W D W Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee Joey Kooij, Netherlands
Home Win · PSV
84%
Best 1.15
Draw
12%
Best 8.38
Away Win · EXC
4%
Best 14.38
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.94
book 4.33 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 12%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 84%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 4.1%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 25.4%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 10.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 89.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 84%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 4.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 16.1%
Odds 6.23
Show model details
Implied probability 16.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PSV – EXC @ 4.33
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →