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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Feyenoord — Twente

Match Feyenoord vs Twente December 21, 2025 — Result and Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
Twente
Twente
W D D W L Away · last 5
Stadion Feijenoord · Rotterdam Referee Dennis Higler, Netherlands
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.74
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.50
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.62
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.69 – 2.54
Δ −1.85
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.50 — +12.0% better than the market.

Feyenoord hosts Twente with a clear quality edge and a home advantage that suggests control in this Eredivisie clash. Despite Feyenoord's recent patchy form, their attacking edge against Twente's defense and the home crowd at De Kuip could spark a return to winning ways. The match hints at a lively tempo with over 2.5 goals likely, given both sides' offensive capabilities and the tendency for open play.

  • Feyenoord's stronger attack faces a defense that has struggled to contain threats.
  • Twente's resilience and recent unbeaten run may test Feyenoord's compactness.
  • Home momentum and crowd support could be decisive in tight moments.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 2.50 ✗ Lost
AI 45% Implied 40% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

FEY 11 TWE
46%
Possession (%)
54%
0.69
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.54
10
Total Shots
29
4
Shots on Target
11
4
Shots off Target
9
8
Shots Inside Box
21
7
Corner Kicks
12
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
11
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
0
10
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Feyenoord and Twente drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.54 to 0.69. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 29 shots to 10, 11 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 7. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 10 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.54 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.74 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.50 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.60 64% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.45 34% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.17 38% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 85% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 55% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.31 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 85% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.20 22% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.20 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.75 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.46 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.54u −9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
FEY – TWE @ 2.50
+12.0%
Edge
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