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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — Groningen

Predictions Ajax vs Groningen December 2, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Tue 02 Dec · 13:30
2:0
Full-time
Groningen
Groningen
L L W W L Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam Referee Bas Nijhuis, Netherlands
Home Win · AJA
62%
Best 1.96
Draw
22%
Best 3.70
Away Win · GRO
15%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.75
Fair odds
2.51
book 2.75 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (60%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 15.3%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 41.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 15.3%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
AJA – GRO @ 2.75
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →