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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Twente — AZ Alkmaar

Predictions Twente vs AZ Alkmaar November 30, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Twente
Twente
Home · last 5 W D D W L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 15:45
1:0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W D D D D Away · last 5
De Grolsch Veste · Enschede Referee Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Home Win · TWE
35%
Best 2.20
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · ALK
40%
Best 3.00
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.55
Fair odds
2.25
book 2.55 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +13.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (56%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
TWE – ALK @ 2.55
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →