Match Telstar vs Excelsior November 1, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.39 — +6.9% better than the market.

Telstar holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid defensive setup, which could frustrate Excelsior despite their slightly better recent form. The home side's defensive discipline combined with a modest attacking threat suggests a tightly contested game with limited clear-cut chances.

Home defensive solidity versus away attack
Recent form favors Excelsior but not decisively
Moderate pace expected, hinting at a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.39 ✓ Cashed

AI 77% Implied 72% +0.39u

+39%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STO 3-4-2-1 · EXC 4-3-3

STO · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · EXC

39 Ritmeester van de Kamp

9 Zonneveld

📊 Statistics

STO 2 – 2 EXC

46%

Possession (%)

54%

3.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Telstar and Excelsior drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 17, 8 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.98 units (Brier 0.193).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.26	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.48	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.35	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	56%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.65	—	34%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.64	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	48%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.31	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	77%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	57%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Away Win	3.20	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	79%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	25%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.98u	−12% ROI