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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — GIL Vicente

Predictions Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente May 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 19:30
3:0
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
L W D L L Away · last 5
Estádio da Luz · Lisbon Referee L. M. Branco Godinho
Home Win · SPO
77%
Best 1.22
Draw
17%
Best 8.45
Away Win · VIC
6%
Best 15.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.61
Fair odds
5.93
book 6.61 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 17% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (77%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.9%
Odds 6.61
Show model details
Implied probability 15.1%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 6.4%
Odds 12.20
Show model details
Implied probability 8.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 29.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14.5%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.4%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.18
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
SPO – VIC @ 6.61
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →