Match Bournemouth vs Brentford March 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.61 — +5.5% better than the market.

Bournemouth hosts Brentford in a Premier League clash where home momentum and tactical edges could be decisive. Bournemouth's recent form shows resilience with a solid defensive setup, while Brentford's slightly higher overall quality and pressing style pose a threat. The home side's attacking edge against Brentford's defense suggests chances will arise, but Brentford's compact block and recent winning streak hint at a tight contest.

Bournemouth's home comfort and attacking chances
Brentford's pressing and defensive solidity
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.61 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 62% +0.61u

+61%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1

BOU · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BRE

9 Evanilson

Subs used · BOU

74'

Adli ↑ ·

Rayan ↓

74'

J. Kroupi ↑ ·

Christie ↓

80'

Unal ↑ ·

Evanilson ↓

Subs used · BRE

21'

Ajer ↑ ·

Henry ↓

62'

Yarmolyuk ↑ ·

Henderson ↓

87'

Lewis-Potter ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

📊 Statistics

BOU 0 – 0 BRE

48%

Possession (%)

52%

2.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.40

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

9 · 0 – 0

21'

⇄

K. Ajer ↓ · R. Henry ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

60'

▮

Mathias Jensen

Yellow Card

62'

⇄

Y. Yarmolyuk ↓ · J. Henderson ↑

Substitution 2

A. Adli ↓ · Rayan ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

74'

E. J. Kroupi ↓ · R. Christie ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

E. Unal ↓ · Evanilson ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

87'

⇄

K. Lewis-Potter ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 3

Marcus Tavernier

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Tyler Adams

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Bournemouth and Brentford drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.21 to 0.40. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 5, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +18.43 units (Brier 0.366).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.61	—	66%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
BTTS No	2.62	—	39%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.42	—	41%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.66	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.53	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.14	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.47	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.82	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.94	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.46	—	59%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.57	—	63%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	20%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Cashed	+16.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+18.43u	+108% ROI