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Home Portugal Primeira Liga GIL Vicente — Benfica

Predictions GIL Vicente vs Benfica March 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 L W D L L
Kick-off
Mon 02 Mar · 20:15
1:2
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Home Win · VIC
11%
Best 5.73
Draw
24%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BEN
65%
Best 1.55
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.80
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.80 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (70%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 11.4%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 11.4%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.6%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
VIC – BEN @ 3.80
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →