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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — SC Braga

Predictions Nacional vs SC Braga February 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 18:00
1:2
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Referee Diogo Rosa, Portugal
Home Win · NAC
12%
Best 5.63
Draw
22%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BRA
66%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.82
book 3.10 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (65%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 12.3%
Odds 5.92
Show model details
Implied probability 16.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 12.3%
Odds 4.66
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
NAC – BRA @ 3.10
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →