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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Moreirense — Sporting CP

Predictions Moreirense vs Sporting CP February 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 18:00
0:3
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Cónegos Referee Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal
Home Win · MOR
6%
Best 11.44
Draw
17%
Best 5.58
Away Win · SPO
77%
Best 1.26
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.23
Fair odds
2.11
book 2.23 · +5.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +5.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (53%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.3%
Odds 5.93
Show model details
Implied probability 16.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 6.2%
Odds 11.80
Show model details
Implied probability 8.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.5%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 6.2%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
MOR – SPO @ 2.23
+5.7%
Edge
Forecast →