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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — AVS

Predictions Benfica vs AVS February 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 18:00
3:0
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
Home Win · BEN
88%
Best 1.08
Draw
10%
Best 10.75
Away Win · AVS
2%
Best 24.00
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.35
book 2.70 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (57%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 10%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 1.9%
Odds 39.00
Show model details
Implied probability 2.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 43%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.8%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 4.1%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 1.9%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 11.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 98.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
BEN – AVS @ 2.70
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →