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Home England Premier League Bournemouth — Sunderland

Predictions Bournemouth vs Sunderland February 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 12:30
1:1
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
L D D W W Away · last 5
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset Referee J. Gillett
Home Win · BOU
61%
Best 1.75
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · SUN
16%
Best 4.63
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 14.00
Fair odds
12.39
book 14.00 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 8% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (92%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.98
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 15.9%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.8%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 15.9%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
BOU – SUN @ 14.00
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →