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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — Alverca

Predictions Benfica vs Alverca February 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Feb · 20:30
2:1
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal
Home Win · BEN
81%
Best 1.17
Draw
15%
Best 7.10
Away Win · ALV
4%
Best 14.60
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.58
Fair odds
2.36
book 2.58 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (58%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 15.3%
Odds 7.12
Show model details
Implied probability 14%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.5%
Odds 21.12
Show model details
Implied probability 4.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 3.5%
Odds 8.90
Show model details
Implied probability 11.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 18.8%
Odds 5.04
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
BEN – ALV @ 2.58
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →