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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — FC Porto

Predictions Casa Pia vs FC Porto February 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Mon 02 Feb · 20:45
2:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Home Win · CAS
6%
Best 11.00
Draw
17%
Best 5.48
Away Win · POR
77%
Best 1.27
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.54
Fair odds
2.44
book 2.54 · +4.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +4.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (59%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.2%
Odds 5.95
Show model details
Implied probability 16.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 5.6%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 41%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 5.6%
Odds 8.30
Show model details
Implied probability 12.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
CAS – POR @ 2.54
+4.2%
Edge
Forecast →