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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Benfica

Predictions Rio Ave vs Benfica January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 20:30
0:2
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Home Win · RIO
7%
Best 8.90
Draw
18%
Best 5.12
Away Win · BEN
75%
Best 1.32
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.25
Fair odds
2.03
book 2.25 · +11.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +11.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (51%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.3%
Odds 5.43
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 6.9%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.4%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 6.9%
Odds 6.85
Show model details
Implied probability 14.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
RIO – BEN @ 2.25
+11.1%
Edge
Forecast →