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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Santa Clara — FC Porto

Predictions Santa Clara vs FC Porto January 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 18:00
0:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Home Win · SAN
9%
Best 8.10
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · POR
68%
Best 1.46
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.81
book 4.33 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (74%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 9%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.2%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 8.30
Show model details
Implied probability 12.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 9%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 91%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
SAN – POR @ 4.33
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →