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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Rio Ave

Predictions Sporting CP vs Rio Ave December 28, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 20:30
4:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio da Luz · Lisbon Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal
Home Win · SPO
83%
Best 1.09
Draw
13%
Best 10.80
Away Win · RIO
4%
Best 25.02
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.28 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (52%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 12.9%
Odds 9.15
Show model details
Implied probability 10.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.8%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 12.3%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 3.8%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 16.7%
Odds 6.04
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
SPO – RIO @ 2.28
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →