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Home Portugal Primeira Liga AVS — Nacional

Predictions AVS vs Nacional December 21, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
AVS
AVS
Home · last 5 D D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 15:30
2:2
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves Referee Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Home Win · AVS
22%
Best 2.72
Draw
28%
Best 3.25
Away Win · NAC
50%
Best 2.53
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.82
book 3.10 · +10.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +10.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.8%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 22.1%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AVS – NAC @ 3.10
+10.1%
Edge
Forecast →