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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Tondela — FC Porto

Predictions Tondela vs FC Porto December 7, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 20:30
0:2
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Home Win · TON
6%
Best 11.00
Draw
18%
Best 5.60
Away Win · POR
76%
Best 1.27
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.32
Fair odds
2.06
book 2.32 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (51%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.7%
Odds 5.79
Show model details
Implied probability 17.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 6.4%
Odds 11.46
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.21
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 13.40
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 6.4%
Odds 6.55
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 24.2%
Odds 4.02
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
TON – POR @ 2.32
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →