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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Santa Clara — Casa Pia

Predictions Santa Clara vs Casa Pia December 6, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 15:30
1:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores Referee Diogo Rosa, Portugal
Home Win · SAN
43%
Best 2.02
Draw
28%
Best 2.95
Away Win · CAS
28%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.99
Fair odds
1.77
book 1.99 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (72%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28.4%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.2%
Odds 3.24
Show model details
Implied probability 30.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 1.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 15.9%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.9%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
SAN – CAS @ 1.99
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →