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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — SC Braga

Predictions Arouca vs SC Braga December 1, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Mon 01 Dec · 20:15
0:4
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
Home Win · ARO
11%
Best 6.96
Draw
22%
Best 4.33
Away Win · BRA
67%
Best 1.47
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.68
book 4.00 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +8.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.28
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 11.1%
Odds 6.55
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 11.1%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ARO – BRA @ 4.00
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →