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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Moreirense — Famalicao

Predictions Moreirense vs Famalicao November 29, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 15:30
2:2
Full-time
Famalicao
Famalicao
D W D D W Away · last 5
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Cónegos Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Home Win · MOR
35%
Best 3.28
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · FAM
38%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 1.75
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.75 · +8.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +8.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (65%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 35.3%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.38
Show model details
Implied probability 29.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
MOR – FAM @ 1.75
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →