Match SC Braga vs Moreirense November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.17 — +7.2% better than the market.

SC Braga holds a clear quality edge and a solid home momentum, having won three of their last five. Their offensive strength outmatches Moreirense's defense, suggesting Braga can create meaningful chances. Meanwhile, Moreirense's recent form is patchy, and their defensive frailties could be exploited on Braga's home turf.

Braga's pressing and set-piece threat stand out.
Moreirense struggles to contain strong attacks away from home.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play and tactical discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.17 ✓ Cashed

AI 49% Implied 46% +1.17u

+117%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRA 3-4-2-1 · MOR 3-4-3

BRA · 3-4-2-1 3-4-3 · MOR

39 Navarro

Subs used · BRA

20'

Victor ↑ ·

Navarro ↓

46'

Gomez ↑ ·

Lelo ↓

66'

Martinez ↑ ·

Dorgeles ↓

67'

Grillitsch ↑ ·

Moutinho ↓

83'

Moscardo ↑ ·

Zalazar ↓

Subs used · MOR

67'

Semedo ↑ ·

Schettine ↓

67'

Sousa ↑ ·

Stjepanovic ↓

77'

Teguia ↑ ·

Landerson ↓

77'

Rodri ↑ ·

Bernardo ↓

86'

Jorquera Romero ↑ ·

Batista ↓

📊 Statistics

BRA 2 – 1 MOR

53%

Possession (%)

47%

2.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.00

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 1

R. Zalazar (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

13'

P. Victor ↓ · F. Navarro ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

20'

Half-time · 1 – 0

V. Gomez ↓ · L. Lelo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

Bright Arrey-Mbi

Yellow Card

▮

49'

G. Martinez ↓ · M. Dorgeles ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

F. Grillitsch ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

67'

⇄

L. Semedo ↓ · Guilherme Schettine ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

V. Sousa ↓ · M. Stjepanovic ↑

Substitution 2

68'

▮

Dinis Pinto

Yellow Card

R. Horta

2–0

⚽

71'

77'

⇄

C. Teguia ↓ · Landerson ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

Rodri ↓ · Bernardo ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⚽

Maracas

Assist · Alanzinho · 2–1

Rodrigo Zalazar

Yellow Card

▮

83'

Gabriel Moscardo ↓ · R. Zalazar ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

86'

⇄

J. Jorquera Romero ↓ · G. Batista ↑

Substitution 5

Lukáš Horníček

Yellow Card

▮

88'

▮

Alan

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

SC Braga beat Moreirense 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.06 to 1.00. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Zalazar (13'), R. Horta (71'), Maracas (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.57 units (Brier 0.092).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.17	—	49%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.84	—	54%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.07	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.43	—	71%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.11	—	91%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	67%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.97	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.15	—	71%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	77%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Draw	4.77	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.70	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.40	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.75	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.57u	−33% ROI