P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Moreirense

Predictions Arouca vs Moreirense November 2, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 18:00
0:2
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Home Win · ARO
29%
Best 2.54
Draw
27%
Best 3.17
Away Win · MOR
44%
Best 2.85
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.90
book 3.25 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.1%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ARO – MOR @ 3.25
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →