Match Tottenham vs Arsenal February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.63 — +7.3% better than the market.

Arsenal arrive at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with clear quality and form advantages, showing strong momentum with recent wins compared to Tottenham's mixed results. Arsenal's potent attack faces a Tottenham defense that has struggled, suggesting the visitors can exploit defensive gaps.

Arsenal's offensive edge against Tottenham's defense favors goal-scoring opportunities.
Tottenham's home edge is limited, indicating a challenging atmosphere for them.
Recent form trends highlight Arsenal's confidence and consistency.

Expect a lively contest with Arsenal likely pressing for control.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.63 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 61% +0.63u

+63%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TOT 3-5-2 · ARS 4-2-3-1

TOT · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · ARS

7 Simons

Subs used · TOT

62'

Solanke ↑ ·

Gallagher ↓

68'

Richarlison ↑ ·

Kolo Muani ↓

82'

Tel ↑ ·

Palhinha ↓

Subs used · ARS

57'

Mosquera ↑ ·

Timber ↓

76'

Martinelli ↑ ·

Trossard ↓

77'

Odegaard ↑ ·

Eze ↓

90+1'

Madueke ↑ ·

Saka ↓

📊 Statistics

TOT 1 – 4 ARS

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.74

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 4

27'

▮

Jurriën Timber

Yellow Card

32'

⚽

E. Eze

0–1

R. Kolo Muani

1–1

⚽

34'

Archie Gray

Yellow Card

▮

35'

Half-time · 1 – 1

47'

⚽

V. Gyokeres

Assist · J. Timber · 1–2

57'

⇄

C. Mosquera ↓ · J. Timber ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⚽

E. Eze

1–3

D. Solanke ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

Richarlison ↓ · R. Kolo Muani ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

76'

⇄

G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

M. Odegaard ↓ · E. Eze ↑

Substitution 3

M. Tel ↓ · J. Palhinha ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

Yves Bissouma

Yellow Card

▮

86'

90'

⚽

V. Gyokeres

Assist · M. Odegaard · 1–4

90+1'

⇄

N. Madueke ↓ · B. Saka ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

Arsenal won 4–1 away at Tottenham. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.93 to 0.74. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 6, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.93 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Eze (32'), R. Kolo Muani (34'), V. Gyokeres (47'), E. Eze (61'), V. Gyokeres (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.78 units (Brier 0.143).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.63	—	66%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.87	—	53%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.08	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	52%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.46	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.15	—	88%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.15	—	31%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.22	—	66%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	76%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.15	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.90	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.35	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.71	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.78u	−22% ROI