Match Everton vs Manchester United February 23, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.01 — +14.7% better than the market.

Manchester United enters with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive firepower, likely to challenge Everton's compact defense at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Despite Everton's solid recent form and home momentum, Manchester United's pressing and sharper attack could tilt the balance. The pace hints at a moderately open game with chances for both sides.

United's superior attack vs Everton's defense
Everton's home resilience and recent unbeaten streak
Potential for a tactical battle with pressing intensity

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.01 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +1.01u

+101%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EVE 4-2-3-1 · MUN 4-2-3-1

EVE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MUN

11 Barry

Subs used · EVE

73'

George ↑ ·

Armstrong ↓

79'

Beto ↑ ·

Iroegbunam ↓

Subs used · MUN

58'

Sesko ↑ ·

Diallo ↓

78'

Mazraoui ↑ ·

Mbeumo ↓

90+5'

Heaven ↑ ·

Cunha ↓

📊 Statistics

EVE 0 – 1 MUN

48%

Possession (%)

52%

0.62

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

58'

⇄

B. Sesko ↓ · A. Diallo ↑

Substitution 1

71'

⚽

B. Sesko

Assist · B. Mbeumo · 0–1

T. George ↓ · H. Armstrong ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

Jordan Pickford

Yellow Card

▮

77'

78'

⇄

N. Mazraoui ↓ · B. Mbeumo ↑

Substitution 2

Beto ↓ · T. Iroegbunam ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

79'

James Tarkowski

Yellow Card

▮

83'

84'

▮

Harry Maguire

Yellow Card

90+2'

▮

Noussair Mazraoui

Yellow Card

90+5'

▮

Bruno Fernandes

Yellow Card

90+5'

⇄

A. Heaven ↓ · M. Cunha ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Manchester United won 1–0 away at Everton. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.27 to 0.62. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. Sesko (71').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.74 units (Brier 0.199).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.01	—	57%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
BTTS No	2.34	—	43%	Cashed	+1.34	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.23	—	45%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.76	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.89	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.73	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	67%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.85	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.50	—	57%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	23%	Cashed	+3.33	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.03	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.70	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.74u	−4% ROI

Match Everton vs Manchester United February 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Away Win at 2.01 — +14.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled