Match Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty January 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Arsenal look set to dominate at the Emirates with territory, chance volume and sustained pressure. The visitors arrive in poor rhythm and have struggled to carry threat or keep games under control, especially when forced deep for long stretches. This matchup points to a one-way pattern where Arsenal’s attacking waves should eventually break the resistance, while Kairat’s best hope is to survive, slow the tempo and look for rare counters or set pieces. The key angle is whether the away side can avoid conceding multiple times rather than who wins.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ARS 4-3-3 · KAI 3-4-3

ARS · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · KAI

11 Martinelli

📊 Statistics

ARS 3 – 2 KAI

66%

Possession (%)

34%

4.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.11

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Arsenal beat Kairat Almaty 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.06 to 1.11. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 4, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 5 landed and 4 missed, for a net -3.13 units (Brier 0.113).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 5 W · 4 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.55	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	23.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	56.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	2.62	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Home Win	1.05	—	79%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.21	—	78%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.53	—	60%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 4 L	−3.13u	−35% ROI