Match Bayern München vs Union St. Gilloise January 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 6.70 — +7.2% better than the market.

Bayern should control this game at home with their usual high-tempo pressure and a clear edge in chance creation. Union can be stubborn and may have moments on the break, but sustaining attacks for long spells looks difficult here. The match profile points to Bayern winning while the goal line stays the main question: Bayern can push it over the standard totals, yet a clean-sheet home win is also very live if Union struggle to convert their limited chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 6.70 ✗ Lost

AI 16% Implied 15% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · GIL 3-4-2-1

BAY · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · GIL

9 Kane

📊 Statistics

BAY 2 – 0 GIL

74%

Possession (%)

26%

3.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.88

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Bayern München beat Union St. Gilloise 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.14 to 0.88. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 5, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 8 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.97 units (Brier 0.155).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 8 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.95	—	54%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Draw	10.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	6.70	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	21.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	2.31	—	45%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	98%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.28	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.08	—	92%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Home Win	1.15	—	84%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.72	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.99	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	4.33	—	22%	Cashed	+3.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	10.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -1	1.16	—	60%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Under 0.5	34.00	—	2%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 8 L	−1.97u	−12% ROI

Match Bayern München vs Union St. Gilloise January 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 6.70 — +7.2% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled