Match Real Madrid vs Manchester City December 10, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 10 Dec · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
Referee Clement Turpin, France
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 71% · book 1.45
✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.27
✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 40% · book 2.55
✗
xG (open play)
1.44 – 2.58
Δ −1.14
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.45 — +3.0% better than the market.
Two elite attacking sides meet at the Bernabéu with both teams in strong scoring form. City look slightly stronger overall on underlying numbers, but Real’s home attack and European experience balance the tie, so the 1X2 looks close to even. A high-tempo game with plenty of chances for both sides is likely, which favours goal and handicap markets rather than picking a clear winner.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.45
✓ Cashed
AI 71%
Implied 69%
+0.45u
⛀ Lineups
REA 4-4-2 · MCI 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
REA 1
– 2 MCI
1.44
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.58
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
Match recap
Manchester City won 2–1 away at Real Madrid. At half-time it was 1–2.
On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.58 to 1.44. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 1 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.74 units (Brier 0.150).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.45 |
— |
71% |
Cashed |
+0.45 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.27 |
— |
45% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.55 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.50 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.71 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.71 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.16 |
— |
86% |
Cashed |
+0.16 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.03 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.61 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.61 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.53 |
— |
63% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.74 |
— |
55% |
Cashed |
+0.74 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
4.00 |
— |
23% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.67 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
6.00 |
— |
14% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
21.00 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.88 |
— |
29% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.92 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.06 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.06 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−3.74u |
−22% ROI |
