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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Atalanta — Chelsea

Predictions Atalanta vs Chelsea December 9, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Tue 09 Dec · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L W W L L Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Home Win · ATA
31%
Best 3.40
Draw
27%
Best 3.50
Away Win · CHE
42%
Best 2.15
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.51
Fair odds
3.23
book 3.51 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (42%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 31%
Odds 3.51
Show model details
Implied probability 28.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 14.80
Show model details
Implied probability 6.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 3 markets
✓ AH Home +2 Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality High
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 31%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 42%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 58%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
ATA – CHE @ 3.51
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →