Match Olympiakos Piraeus vs Real Madrid November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 26 Nov · 20:00
3:4
Full-time
Referee Michael Oliver, England
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 68% · book 1.43
✓
Hit
Over 0.5
Over 0.5
AI 96% · book 1.03
✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 88% · book 1.12
✓
xG (open play)
1.57 – 1.65
Δ −0.08
AI accuracy
8 / 18
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Draw at 5.75 — +15.0% better than the market.
Real Madrid travel to face Olympiakos in a high-pressure European clash where the Spanish giants look clear favourites. The visitors arrive in strong scoring form both domestically and in Europe, while Olympiakos rely heavily on home support and set pieces to compete. Expect Real Madrid to dominate possession and chance creation, with the Greek side mainly looking for moments in transition.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 5.75
✗ Lost
AI 20%
Implied 17%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
OLY 4-2-3-1 · REA 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
OLY 3
– 4 REA
1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.65
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
Match recap
Real Madrid won 4–3 away at Olympiakos Piraeus. At half-time it was 1–3.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.65 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 8 landed and 10 missed, for a net -6.37 units (Brier 0.124).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
18 · 8 W · 10 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Win |
1.43 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.43 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.03 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.12 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.12 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.16 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.16 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.18 |
— |
85% |
Cashed |
+0.18 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.55 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.55 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.36 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+1.36 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.80 |
— |
52% |
Cashed |
+0.80 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.13 |
— |
48% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.69 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
3.12 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
5.75 |
— |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.62 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +1 |
2.40 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
8.00 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
5.60 |
— |
15% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
19.00 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
5.25 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 10 L |
−6.37u |
−35% ROI |
