Match Pafos vs Monaco November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.40 — +10.4% better than the market.

Pafos host Monaco at Alphamega Stadium in a matchup where the visitors clearly come from a stronger league and carry more firepower, while the Cypriot side rely on compact defending and long spells without the ball. My Pafos vs Monaco prediction expects Monaco to control territory and chances, but Pafos can still be dangerous in moments, so the most common scenarios revolve around an away win with two or three total goals rather than a one-sided thrashing.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 2.40 ✓ Cashed

AI 46% Implied 42% +1.40u

+140%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAP 4-2-3-1 · MON 4-2-3-1

PAP · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MON

33 Silva

📊 Statistics

PAP 2 – 2 MON

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Pafos and Monaco drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–2.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net +1.19 units (Brier 0.187).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 8 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.68	—	60%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Home Win	5.60	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.40	—	46%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
Draw	4.45	—	24%	Cashed	+3.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
BTTS No	2.26	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.55	—	38%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.69	—	57%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.38	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.18	—	78%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	1.66	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 7 L	+1.19u	+8% ROI