Match FC Copenhagen vs Kairat Almaty November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 26 Nov · 17:45
3:2
Full-time
Parken · København
Referee Nick Walsh, Scotland
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 68% · book 1.66
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 12% · book 10.15
✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.58
✗
xG (open play)
3.27 – 1.93
Δ +1.34
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.58 — +13.5% better than the market.
FC Copenhagen welcome Kairat Almaty to Parken Stadium as clear favourites, with the Danish side much stronger in domestic competition and far more active in the final third, while the visitors usually sit very deep and play without much of the ball in Europe. My FC Copenhagen vs Kairat Almaty prediction expects long spells of home pressure, Kairat defending in numbers and trying to counter, and a scoreline that often lands around 2–0, 2–1 or 3–0, creating a wide range of betting angles on the result and goals.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.58
✗ Lost
AI 44%
Implied 39%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
COP 4-1-4-1 · KAI 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
COP 3
– 2 KAI
3.27
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.93
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
Match recap
FC Copenhagen beat Kairat Almaty 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.27 to 1.93. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 13, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.32 units (Brier 0.136).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.66 |
— |
68% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
10.15 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.58 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
3.57 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.04 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
5.40 |
— |
19% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
5.60 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.18 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.18 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.09 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.09 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.39 |
— |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.39 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.57 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.87 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+0.87 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.42 |
— |
32% |
Cashed |
+1.42 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.12 |
— |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.12 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
6.25 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
18.50 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−5.32u |
−31% ROI |