Match Manchester City vs Bayer Leverkusen November 25, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Tue 25 Nov · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Etihad Stadium · Manchester
Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.83
✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 11% · book 12.50
✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 28% · book 4.37
✓
xG (open play)
1.84 – 0.55
Δ +1.29
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.83 — +10.0% better than the market.
Manchester City welcome Bayer Leverkusen to the Etihad Stadium in a Champions League style clash between two attack-minded sides. City have the stronger squad, higher experience in deep European runs and a powerful home record, while Leverkusen arrive in excellent domestic form and dangerous transitions. My Manchester City vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction expects City to control most phases of the game, but the German side to threaten on the counter, creating a high-tempo match with several realistic angles across 1X2, goals, double chance and Asian handicap markets.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.83
✗ Lost
AI 60%
Implied 55%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
MCI 4-3-3 · BAY 5-3-2
📊 Statistics
MCI 0
– 2 BAY
1.84
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.55
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
Bayer Leverkusen won 2–0 away at Manchester City. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.84 to 0.55. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +15.97 units (Brier 0.370).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.83 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
12.50 |
— |
11% |
Cashed |
+11.50 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
4.37 |
— |
28% |
Cashed |
+3.37 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
7.00 |
— |
17% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
25.00 |
— |
6% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.00 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.38 |
— |
72% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.12 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.12 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
8.00 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.02 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.06 |
— |
89% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.95 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+0.95 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
3.30 |
— |
28% |
Cashed |
+2.30 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.27 |
— |
72% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.01 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+1.01 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.05 |
— |
72% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
6.70 |
— |
11% |
Cashed |
+5.70 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
+15.97u |
+94% ROI |
