Match Ajax vs Galatasaray November 5, 2025 — Result and Stats
Ajax
Home · last 5
L
L
W
W
L
Kick-off
Wed 05 Nov · 20:00
0:3
Full-time
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
Referee Benoît Bastien, France
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 75% · book 1.40
✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 3.01
✓
Miss
AH Home -2
AH Home -2
AI 10% · book 12.00
✗
xG (open play)
0.90 – 2.54
Δ −1.64
AI accuracy
8 / 18
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks AH Home +1 at 1.40 — +10.0% better than the market.
Galatasaray bring stronger recent form and look more secure across phases, while Ajax have struggled to control European games. Expect the visitors to avoid defeat, with a moderate goal pace unless early chances are finished clinically.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Home +1
AH Home +1 @ 1.40
✗ Lost
AI 77%
Implied 71%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
AJA 4-2-3-1 · GAL 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
AJA 0
– 3 GAL
0.90
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.54
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
Match recap
Galatasaray won 3–0 away at Ajax. At half-time it was 0–0.
On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.54 to 0.90. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 8 landed and 10 missed, for a net -4.44 units (Brier 0.206).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
18 · 8 W · 10 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.40 |
— |
75% |
Cashed |
+0.40 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
3.01 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+2.01 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -2 |
12.00 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.79 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.80 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.80 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.40 |
— |
77% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.11 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.62 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.14 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+1.14 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.12 |
— |
90% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.01 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.01 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.12 |
— |
83% |
Cashed |
+0.12 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.80 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.46 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.46 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.42 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.20 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.41 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
3.28 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 10 L |
−4.44u |
−25% ROI |
