Match Liverpool vs Real Madrid November 4, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.12 — +12.4% better than the market.

High-tempo football at Anfield with frequent transitions. Real Madrid arrive hotter and more clinical, but Liverpool’s press and home energy make this swingy. Expect chances for both and long spells where the visitors edge the key moments.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.12 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · REA 4-1-4-1

LIV · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · REA

22 Ekitiké

📊 Statistics

LIV 1 – 0 REA

39%

Possession (%)

61%

2.51

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Liverpool beat Real Madrid 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.51 to 0.45. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 22 graded markets, 9 landed and 13 missed, for a net -0.16 units (Brier 0.266).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

22 · 9 W · 13 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.12	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.63	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	3.18	—	34%	Cashed	+2.18	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.44	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.61	—	36%	Cashed	+1.61	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.94	—	32%	Cashed	+1.94	Cashed
Draw	4.05	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.97	—	36%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.00	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.84	—	47%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	12%	Cashed	+5.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	98%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	24.00	—	2%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.40	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home +1	1.26	—	58%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
AH Home +2	1.02	—	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
AH Away -1	1.29	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -1	3.80	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away -2	1.02	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -2	7.90	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 22 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	9 W · 13 L	−0.16u	−1% ROI