Match Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus October 1, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.22 — +1.0% better than the market.

Arsenal is clearly favored to win at home against Olympiakos Piraeus, with a strong edge in recent form and quality. The home side's attack matches well against the away defense, and their home advantage is significant. A home win is the most likely outcome, while a draw is possible but less probable. Goals are expected, with a good chance both teams will score. Betting on Arsenal to win or double chance 1X offers solid value. Totals suggest a moderately open game with over 2.5 goals likely.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.22 ✓ Cashed

AI 83% Implied 82% +0.22u

+22%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ARS 4-3-3 · OLY 4-2-3-1

ARS · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · OLY

19 Trossard

Subs used · ARS

58'

Timber ↑ ·

White ↓

58'

Rice ↑ ·

Merino ↓

73'

Saka ↑ ·

Trossard ↓

73'

Eze ↑ ·

Martinelli ↓

75'

Mosquera ↑ ·

Magalhães ↓

Subs used · OLY

62'

Taremi ↑ ·

Martins ↓

75'

Scipioni ↑ ·

García ↓

86'

Biancone ↑ ·

Retsos ↓

86'

Strefezza ↑ ·

Chiquinho ↓

86'

Mouzakitis ↑ ·

Hezze ↓

📊 Statistics

ARS 2 – 0 OLY

61%

Possession (%)

39%

2.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 0

Gabriel Martinelli

1–0

⚽

12'

Half-time · 1 – 0

Gabriel Magalhães

Yellow Card

▮

58'

Jurriën Timber ↓ · Ben White ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

Declan Rice ↓ · Mikel Merino ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

Martín Zubimendi

Yellow Card

▮

61'

62'

⇄

Mehdi Taremi ↓ · Gelson Martins ↑

Substitution 1

Bukayo Saka ↓ · Leandro Trossard ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

Eberechi Eze ↓ · Gabriel Martinelli ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

Cristhian Mosquera ↓ · Gabriel Magalhães ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

75'

⇄

Lorenzo Scipioni ↓ · Dani García ↑

Substitution 2

Declan Rice

Yellow Card

▮

78'

86'

⇄

Giulian Biancone ↓ · Panagiotis Retsos ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

Gabriel Strefezza ↓ · Chiquinho ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

Christos Mouzakitis ↓ · Santiago Hezze ↑

Substitution 5

90'

▮

Gabriel Strefezza

Yellow Card

Bukayo Saka

Assist · Martin Ødegaard · 2–0

⚽

90+2'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Arsenal beat Olympiakos Piraeus 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.73 to 0.51. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Gabriel Martinelli (12'), Bukayo Saka (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 3 landed and 2 missed, for a net -1.44 units (Brier 0.167).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 3 W · 2 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.30	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.22	—	83%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.52	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -0.5	1.29	—	75%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	3 W · 2 L	−1.44u	−29% ROI

Match Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus October 1, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Home Win at 1.22 — +1.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled