Match Pafos vs Bayern München September 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.36 — +2.0% better than the market.

Bayern München is clearly the dominant side with a strong winning streak and superior quality compared to Pafos. The visitors are expected to control the game and secure a comfortable victory. The odds heavily favor Bayern, reflecting their high chances to win. Goals are likely, with a good probability for both teams to score given Bayern's attacking strength and Pafos' occasional scoring at home. Expect a decisive away win with multiple goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.36 ✓ Cashed

AI 75% Implied 74% +0.36u

+36%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAP 4-2-3-1 · BAY 4-2-3-1

PAP · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BAY

33 Silva

Subs used · PAP

59'

Langa ↑ ·

Luiz ↓

59'

Bassouamina ↑ ·

Silva ↓

59'

Dimata ↑ ·

Jajá ↓

66'

Quina ↑ ·

Dragomir ↓

79'

Sema ↑ ·

Pileas ↓

Subs used · BAY

46'

Gnabry ↑ ·

Díaz ↓

64'

Boey ↑ ·

Kane ↓

73'

Karl ↑ ·

Olise ↓

73'

Tah ↑ ·

Upamecano ↓

83'

Bischof ↑ ·

Laimer ↓

📊 Statistics

PAP 1 – 5 BAY

33%

Possession (%)

67%

0.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.95

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 5

15'

⚽

Harry Kane

Assist · Michael Olise · 0–1

20'

⚽

Raphaël Guerreiro

Assist · Nicolas Jackson · 0–2

31'

⚽

Nicolas Jackson

Assist · Michael Olise · 0–3

34'

⚽

Harry Kane

0–4

Mislav Oršić

1–4

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 4

Mislav Oršić

Yellow Card

▮

46'

⇄

Serge Gnabry ↓ · Luis Díaz ↑

Substitution 1

Bruno Langa ↓ · David Luiz ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

Mons Bassouamina ↓ · Anderson Silva ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

Landry Dimata ↓ · Jajá ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

59'

64'

⇄

Sacha Boey ↓ · Harry Kane ↑

Substitution 2

Domingos Quina ↓ · Vlad Dragomir ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

66'

68'

⚽

Michael Olise

1–5

73'

⇄

Lennart Karl ↓ · Michael Olise ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

Jonathan Tah ↓ · Dayot Upamecano ↑

Substitution 4

Ken Sema ↓ · Kostas Pileas ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

83'

⇄

Tom Bischof ↓ · Konrad Laimer ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 5

Match recap

Bayern München won 5–1 away at Pafos. At half-time it was 1–4.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.95 to 0.37. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 6, 15 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 10 saves.

On the scoresheet: Harry Kane (15'), Raphaël Guerreiro (20'), Nicolas Jackson (31'), Harry Kane (34'), Mislav Oršić (45'), Michael Olise (68').

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 5 landed and 0 missed, for a net +1.95 units (Brier 0.060).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 5 W · 0 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.14	—	88%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.36	—	75%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.41	—	55%	Cashed	+1.41	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.03	—	90%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.01	—	90%	Cashed	+0.01	Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 0 L	+1.95u	+39% ROI