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Home France Ligue 1 Lens — Nantes

Predictions Lens vs Nantes May 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Fri 08 May · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee M. Vernice
Home Win · LEN
71%
Best 1.47
Draw
19%
Best 5.13
Away Win · NAN
9%
Best 7.06
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.33
Fair odds
5.16
book 5.33 · +3.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +3.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (71%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.4%
Odds 5.33
Show model details
Implied probability 18.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 9.4%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 9.4%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
LEN – NAN @ 5.33
+3.4%
Edge
Forecast →