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Home France Ligue 1 Le Havre — Metz

Predictions Le Havre vs Metz April 26, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Le Havre
Le Havre
Home · last 5 D D D L W
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 15:15
4:4
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Stade Océane · Le Havre Referee François Letexier, France
Home Win · HAV
63%
Best 1.68
Draw
23%
Best 4.50
Away Win · MET
14%
Best 5.25
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 10.00
Fair odds
8.87
book 10.00 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 11% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (89%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 14.2%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.23
Show model details
Implied probability 31%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 44%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 14.2%
Odds 3.71
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 85.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
HAV – MET @ 10.00
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →