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Home France Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain — Lyon

Predictions Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon April 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Home Win · PSG
76%
Best 1.31
Draw
17%
Best 5.75
Away Win · LYO
8%
Best 8.97
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.19
Fair odds
5.95
book 6.19 · +4.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +4.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (76%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 16.8%
Odds 6.19
Show model details
Implied probability 16.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.5%
Odds 9.75
Show model details
Implied probability 10.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.2%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84.8%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.5%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSG – LYO @ 6.19
+4.0%
Edge
Forecast →