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Home France Ligue 1 Lens — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions Lens vs Paris Saint Germain May 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Wed 13 May · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W L Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee B. Bastien
Home Win · LEN
19%
Best 3.27
Draw
24%
Best 4.04
Away Win · PSG
57%
Best 2.16
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.33
Fair odds
2.03
book 2.33 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +14.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (51%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 56.5%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 19.4%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 49.3%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 86.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.4%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 32%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 68%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 19.4%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.6%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LEN – PSG @ 2.33
+14.8%
Edge
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