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Home France Ligue 1 Metz — Nantes

Predictions Metz vs Nantes April 5, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 15:15
0:0
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Home Win · MET
28%
Best 2.89
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · NAN
45%
Best 2.46
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.90
book 3.25 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.01
Show model details
Implied probability 33.2%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.7%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 28.3%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MET – NAN @ 3.25
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →