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Home France Ligue 1 Rennes — Metz

Predictions Rennes vs Metz March 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 16:15
0:0
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Bastien Dechepy, France
Home Win · REN
74%
Best 1.30
Draw
19%
Best 5.50
Away Win · MET
8%
Best 9.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.20
Fair odds
4.65
book 5.20 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (79%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.38
Show model details
Implied probability 18.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.7%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.7%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
REN – MET @ 5.20
+11.8%
Edge
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